Much Tougher Targets Needed For A Safe Climate Are Economically Affordable, Even Profitable Say Lead

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16th December 2009, 08:21pm - Views: 377

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Much Tougher Targets Needed for a Safe Climate are Economically Affordable, Even Profitable say

Leading Scientists

COPENHAGEN, Dec. 16/ PRNewswire-AsiaNet/ --

    Today Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), the Potsdam Institute for

Climate Impact Research (PIK) and The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI)

launch A Copenhagen Prognosis: towards a safe climate future, a synthesis of

the latest science on climate change, environment and development.

    The Prognosis will be launched at a press conference at the UN Climate

Change Conference (COP 15) on Wednesday 16 December at 19:30. Copies will be

available in Copenhagen at COP 15 (Bella Centre) and online at

    The Prognosis presents a concise diagnosis of the state of the bioshpere

and observed trends and offers a treatment plan that is consistent with a

2degreesC warming threshold, equity and economic development. Among it's key

conclusions are that:


    - Emerging scientific results suggest that greenhouse gas (GHG) emission

      reductions targets currently being tabled are not consistent with the

      expressed political will to protect humanity against high risks of

      devastating climate impacts and significant risks of self-amplifying 

      global warming.

    - Based on the available carbon budget, and if we are to have a good (75

      per cent) chance for warming to stay below 2degreesC, global GHG 

      emissions would almost certainly need to decline extremely rapidly 

      after 2015, and reach essentially zero by midcentury.

    - There is no evidence suggesting it is impossible to rise to this

      challenge. To the contrary, the growing body of analytical work 

      examining such scenarios at the global and regional level suggest 

      it is not only technically feasible but also economically affordable,

      even profitable.

    "The Prognosis addresses head on the issue of an equitable deal, and goes

on to describe some of the ways in which deep emission cuts are practically

and economically feasible, in developed and developing countries," said

Professor Johan Rockstrom, executive director, Stockholm Environment


    The Prognosis was developed by a group of the world's leading scientists

and researchers on global change, including Professor John Schellnhuber

(PIK), Professor Johan Rockstrom (SEI), Professor Nebojsa Nakicenovic

(IIASA), Dr Leena Srivastava (TERI) and Professor V. Ramanathan (Scripps

Institution of Oceanography). In addition, it has been endorsed by the German

Development Institute and leading climate scholars such as Professor Matt

England (University of New South Wales) and Professor Jim McCarthy (Harvard).

   SOURCE: Stockholm Environment Institute, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, The Energy

and Resources Institute

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